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Shift Happens: Packaging Material Predictions Show Gains in Food and Beverage

U.S. packaging categories are predicted to see big material changes by 2026, including large gains in rigid plastic, flexible packaging and metal.

Rigid plastic takes up the greatest share of projected beverage packaging.
Rigid plastic takes up the greatest share of projected beverage packaging.
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The packaging material landscape may see big shifts in coming years, according to PMMI Business Intelligence’s 2022 report “Future of Packaging and Sustainability.”

In the U.S., rigid plastic, flexible packaging and metal are expected to see the biggest gains by 2026, but the degree of growth will depend on the category they serve. 

Overall, the report indicates material usage is expected to increase significantly across all categories, except home care. What this means for initiatives like sustainability is yet to be determined.

Food: Flexible Packaging Predicted to Pop

The greatest overall projected volume gain from a single material comes through flexible packaging in the food category, with over 10 billion in projected volume gains between 2021 and 2026. Rigid plastic is expected to be the second most popular food packaging material, distantly trailing with projected volume gains around 3.3 billion units.

Following closely behind in the food category are paper-based containers, with projected volume gains nearing 3.2 billion units. The report notes an increasing share of sales in folding carton packaging by 2030, driven by rapid growth of compostable and certified paper-based packaging.

The only material expected to decrease in the food category is metal, with an expected decline of about 467 million units by 2026.Beverages surpass all other categories in absolute package volume gains from 2021-2026.Beverages surpass all other categories in absolute package volume gains from 2021-2026.PMMI Business Intelligence, 2022 Future of Packaging and Sustainability

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